Tri-Nations Prediction: Australia by 5

The Tri-Nations resumes this weekend, with Australia taking on New Zealand in Sydney. The Springboks are the form team in the tournament, but the Bledisloe Cup is at stake this weekend, so it’s all to play for.

New Zealand had a tough trip to South Africa and lost two in a row, and they haven’t lost three straight matches since 1998, but I’m backing the home side to win this one.

Dan Carter is making a headline-grabbing comeback, but Rocky Elsom is making his own return to international rugby on the flank for the Wallabies – his influence could be greater than the All Blacks fly-half.

Some people are predicting a feast of running rugby after three matches dominated by kicking, but I think it will be a tight game between two very evenly matched sides. Some people say that home advantage is worth 5 points, so that’s the margin I have gone for this weekend.

We’ll be posting live updates on The Rugby Blog during the game tomorrow, so if you can’t see the match, check in here at 11ish tomorrow morning (UK time!).